Thursday 10 May 2012

AL East? Try this on for size…

As we check the daily media outlets we will inevitably read something related to the epic struggles of those teams in the AL East…the O’Doyle of MLB divisions. Thus far, the Jays have weathered the storm fairly well but find themselves in 3rd place. Going in to the season, numerous people around MLB were not considering the Jays as having a fighting chance in the AL. As the Jays continue to split series etc… people are starting to panic, countless discussions about the struggles of Lind, Bautista and the Bullpen are beyond prevalent but let’s be honest... We’re in it.

I have put together a hypothetical AL division. A division that, if we were to enter the season in this division, NOONE would have picked the Jays to be on top.

Team W L PCT
Toronto 17 14 0.548
NY Yankees 16 14 0.533
Detroit 15 15 0.500
LA Angels 14 18 0.438
Boston 12 18 0.400

After wrapping your head around how terrible the Angels have been and how INSANE this division would actually be, we can hold our heads up a bit higher.  Do we see baseball authorities counting out the Tigers, Yankees, Red Sox, or Angels? NO!...well maybe the Angels.
The point of this exercise is to take a step back, realize that we’re winning more than we lose, and learn that we need to cheer for our boys throughout the summer hoping that they can continue!
Put the panic buttons away!
Go Jays Go!

Monday 7 May 2012

In Retrospect 3.0

Oh how the mighty have fallen; temporarily at least. As was stated in last weeks edition of In Retrospect. Its as though the AL East has been turned upside down. A quick look at the standings on Monday morning and you’d see this:

 
W
L
WP
GB
Baltimore
19
9
0.679
-
Tampa Bay
19
10
0.655
0.5
Toronto
16
13
0.552
3.5
NY Yankees
15
13
0.536
4
Boston
11
16
0.407
7.5

That’s Baltimore playing at 10 games above .500 – Ten! With the season more than a month in, we’re at that stage where its no longer apt to quip “Its still early” – contrary to what other may say. And as I pointed out last week, I don’t think Baltimore will simply fall off the planet.

This is an interesting week in that that the Jays have 6 games against teams with losing records and Baltimore plays Texas and Tampa – so by weeks end there may be some jockeying in the standings. The time is now for the Jays to make their move.

The Jays started their week against Yu Darvish and the Texas Rangers. Like Darby Day in Great Britain, Darvish’s start in Toronto was dubbed Darvish Day – ugh. Punch the idiot that came up with that verbiage. Also, give Hazel Mae of Sportsnet a metaphorical one-two for her comments during an interview with Ranger’s GM Jon Daniels. During the interview Mae asked Daniels to justify the 51+ million spent on Darvish’s posting fee. She followed up with “Jon, that’s not even in Canadian bucks!” – Um, Hazel, last time I checked the Canadian dollar was at par with the green back. So shut it.  

Darvish did look good though, and as he acclimatizes to MLB he’ll only get better. Looks like a worthwhile investment for the Rangers so far.

Following Darvish’s start the Jays took 3-of-4 from the Rangers before heading to LA for dinner at Ricky’s house. The Jays continued their hot hitting ways against the Angels taking the first two games – thankfully missing out on Weaver’s no-no.

However, the proverbial “the bats went cold” (Frost Giant style) struck on Saturday and Sunday as Drebek and Hutch each got hit – the latter from Poo-holes’ two-run HR – his first of the season. So a split with LAA, I think most fans will take that. But at the same time, fans recognize that Sundays game was winnable and if not for a base running error from Rajai Davis late in the game it could have been a different story.

It seems like every week the Jays have a goat. At first it was JP Mendoza, but he’s come around and is playing very well. Then it was Joey Bats and Eric Thames. Now its Adam Lind’s lack of production. I’m not a firm believer in “protection” in the line up. As in, Bautista isn’t producing because Lind isn’t providing protection. But he isn’t hitting anything right now and more worrisome is that he doesn’t even appear to be battling. Let’s hope he rights the ship or the Jays add first base to their shopping list.
Lind even drew comparisons to Frank Thomas last week. And not in a good way. We're not talking about the Hulk from Chicago, we're talking about the rebar swinging lump that played in Toronto. Not good.
Lind's currents stats for the season look like this:
2 HR, 8 RBI, .194 AVG, .609 OPS - eww 

Looking ahead, the Jays should have the edge going into Oakland and Minnesota. I wonder if Tuesday will be Yeonis day?
In a time honoured tradition, Phils and Spills this week celebrates no one by the name of Phil. In fact, all Phils had bad weeks, so here’s to Weaver for his no-no and Bryce Harper for being electric. The dubious Spills award also goes to none other than Bryce for that hair cut. C’mon kid, you’re in the Bigs now.  

Tuesday 1 May 2012

April Showers….and Rotations!

Month #1 of the 2012 MLB season is officially in the books and it is now time to pick apart useless details to make ourselves feel like we know a thing or two about baseball. Repeated analyses of what has transpired this month will give us all the ammo we need to hit panic buttons, or roll out the ticker-tape parade. I have a rooftop overlooking Yonge St. if anyone needs a place to celebrate the upcoming playoff victories.

I have taken the liberty of putting together a pretty informal comparison looking at how the Blue Jays starting rotation fared against some of the most highly touted rotations in the big leagues… just for fun.

The dynamic forces of Romero, Morrow, Alvarez, Drabek and Hutchison have really turned some heads, especially in the Toronto market but are they getting league-wide recognition? Not just yet. Perhaps they should if they keep up this pace. Before you look at the figures, ask yourself this question; Going into the 2012 season, which rotation would you rather have…the Jays? Or the Phillies, Rays, Angels, Giants?

Here we go:

Team
IP
ERA
H
R
K
BB
QS
Blue Jays
138.4
3.67
114
54
85
49
14
Phillies
144.1
2.48
121
43
119
29
17
Angels
146.7
3.83
137
63
128
40
15
Giants
134.4
3.30
105
50
106
39
13
Rays
143.3
3.41
130
59
109
53
11

When we look at the team totals we need to remember a few things. First, some of the 5th starters have been inconsistent, sorry no Carreno numbers factored in. I purely took the regulars so take that as you choose.  Still, for the most part, we are looking at a pretty tidy comparison. It appears that the Blue Jays are hanging in with the big boys of BOTH the AL and the NL.  What struck me from these tables, besides how sweet the Phillies are, is that we are right there in all of these categories. Ranked 2-4 in all but strikeouts and this may be partially explained by an increased focus on ground ball outs this season.
Ranks
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
 IP
Angels
Phillies
Rays
Blue Jays
Giants
ERA
Phillies
Giants
Rays
Blue Jays
Angels
H
Giants
Blue Jays
Phillies
Rays
Angels
R
Phillies
Giants
Blue Jays
Rays
Angels
K
Angels
Phillies
Rays
Giants
Blue Jays
BB
Phillies
Giants
Angels
Blue Jays
Rays
QS
Phillies
Angels
Blue Jays
Giants
Rays
What I see happening is that, to be honest, the others may start to separate themselves with the Phillies building an even bigger lead in most of these pitching categories. Does this have to happen? No. Will it? Sorry, I’m no psychic Nicky. As fans of the Jays, we should be excited that our young gunslingers are actually producing legitimate results at the big league level. Just look at Drabek’s epic performance last night against Texas, arguably (not really) the nastiest offense in all of baseball. They have the ‘stuff’ and it’s looking like their poise and approach to pitching is evolving into a force to be reckoned with. Now, ask yourself this question; Going into the month of May in the 2012 season, which rotation would you rather have…the Jays? Or the Phillies, Rays, Angels, Giants?